Alebrijes de OaxacavsMonarcas

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Monarcas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Monarcas hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 69.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Monarcas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.