Alebrijes de OaxacavsMineros de Zacatecas

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.