GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 1/18/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasWDDLD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaMineros de Zacatecas
25.0Attack100.0
58.3Defence41.7
50.0Form66.7
46.7Power68.8
1.31xG1.68
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