GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/29/2024, 1:05:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mineros de Zacatecas

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLLWWD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mineros de ZacatecasLDLLW

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaMineros de Zacatecas
25.0Attack100.0
58.3Defence41.7
50.0Form66.7
46.7Power68.8
1.31xG1.68
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