Alebrijes de OaxacavsIrapuato

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Irapuato are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Irapuato hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Irapuato holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.