Alebrijes de OaxacavsDorados

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Dorados are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.