GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 4/20/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Dorados are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
DoradosDWLLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaDorados
25.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
46.7Power68.0
1.15xG1.43
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