GGOALVIO

Alebrijes de Oaxaca logoAlebrijes de OaxacavsDorados logoDorados

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/27/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Dorados are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 21.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaDLWLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DoradosLLLLW

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 5/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaDorados
25.0Attack66.7
58.3Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
46.7Power68.0
1.15xG1.43
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