GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 11/8/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Correcaminos Uat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Correcaminos Uat

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Correcaminos Uat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Correcaminos UatLLWLL

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaCorrecaminos Uat
25.0Attack91.7
58.3Defence33.3
50.0Form58.3
46.7Power62.0
1.42xG1.65
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