Alebrijes de OaxacavsCorrecaminos Uat

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Correcaminos Uat are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Correcaminos Uat hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Correcaminos Uat holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.