Alebrijes de OaxacavsCDS Tampico Madero

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while CDS Tampico Madero are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and CDS Tampico Madero hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.