GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/16/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Alebrijes de Oaxaca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Cancún are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Alebrijes de Oaxaca

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Alebrijes de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLDLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
CancúnWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaCancún
25.0Attack16.7
58.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
46.7Power13.2
1.63xG1.03
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