Alebrijes de OaxacavsCancún

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cancún are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.