Alebrijes de Oaxacavs
Cancún
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/14/2023, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alebrijes de Oaxaca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Cancún are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Alebrijes de Oaxaca hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 13.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Alebrijes de Oaxaca holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20