Alebrijes de OaxacavsCA La Paz

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while CA La Paz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and CA La Paz hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 57.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while CA La Paz holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.