GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/13/2025, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLLDLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCWLWLD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtlante FC
25.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
50.0Form63.5
46.7Power63.9
0.68xG1.29
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