GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 2/14/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Atlante FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlante FCWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtlante FC
25.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
50.0Form63.5
46.7Power63.9
0.68xG1.29
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