GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/31/2023, 11:05:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlante FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlante FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlante FC hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 63.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.2% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Atlante FC holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlante FC

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

47.2%

Atlante FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Alebrijes de OaxacaLLDWD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlante FCLWDWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Alebrijes de OaxacaAtlante FC
25.0Attack48.4
58.3Defence78.6
50.0Form63.5
46.7Power63.9
0.68xG1.29
View match centre →