Aldosivivs
Sarmiento Junin
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/9/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarmiento Junin · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aldosivi 0-0 Sarmiento Junin, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento Junin
Original prediction
Sarmiento Junin
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.9% | 28.7% | -8.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.6% | 31.5% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.88 | 32.5% | 39.8% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.3 pts
Projected Score
Aldosivi 0–0 Sarmiento Junin
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Sarmiento Junin
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Sarmiento Junin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60