Aldosivivs
Independ. Rivadavia
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 8/26/2026, 10:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aldosivi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldosivi 0-2 Independ. Rivadavia
Original prediction
Aldosivi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.57 | 20.3% | 35.9% | 15.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 30.0% | 28.9% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 49.7% | 35.2% | -14.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Aldosivi
Probability
35.9%
Model confidence
35.9%
Aldosivi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80