Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Banfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aldosivi 0-0 Banfield, with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldosivi 3-1 Banfield
Original prediction
Banfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 37.0% | 27.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 31.8% | 33.1% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 31.2% | 39.5% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Projected Score
Aldosivi 0–0 Banfield
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Banfield
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Banfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AldosiviLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BanfieldLLDWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AldosiviBanfield
15.9Attack34.8
56.5Defence58.0
14.5Form36.2
32.3Power45.1
0.59xG0.87