GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/21/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Tucuman · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Aldosivi 0-0 Atletico Tucuman, with an exact score probability of 30%.

Prediction record

Final result

Aldosivi 1-0 Atletico Tucuman

Original prediction

Atletico Tucuman

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.2329.1%23.3%-5.8 pts
Draw2.9431.9%34.7%2.7 pts
Away2.4138.9%42.0%3.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.0 pts

Projected Score

Aldosivi 0–0 Atletico Tucuman

Exact score probability: 30%

Predicted outcome

Atletico Tucuman

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Atletico Tucuman has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AldosiviLWLLL

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Atletico TucumanDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AldosiviAtletico Tucuman
22.7Attack29.3
53.3Defence66.7
17.3Form36.0
34.0Power45.7
0.47xG0.78
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