GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 4/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Lorenzo Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Aldosivi Res. are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Lorenzo Res. are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and San Lorenzo Res. hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Reserve League, while San Lorenzo Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Lorenzo Res.

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

San Lorenzo Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aldosivi Res.LLLLW

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
San Lorenzo Res.WLLLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Aldosivi Res.San Lorenzo Res.
28.8Attack40.9
50.0Defence62.1
30.3Form48.5
38.7Power52.5
0.67xG1.17
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