GGOALVIO

Argentina · Reserve League · 3/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Instituto Res. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Aldosivi Res. are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Instituto Res. are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Instituto Res. hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.3% in the Reserve League, while Instituto Res. holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Instituto Res.

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

20.3%

Instituto Res. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aldosivi Res.LDLLL

GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Instituto Res.DDWDD

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 0/5
Aldosivi Res.Instituto Res.
28.8Attack34.8
50.0Defence62.1
30.3Form40.9
38.7Power48.5
0.68xG0.98
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