Aldosivi Res.vs
Banfield Res.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Reserve League · 10/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Aldosivi Res. 0-0 Banfield Res., with an exact score probability of 24%.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldosivi Res. 2-1 Banfield Res.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 44.5% | 36.5% | -8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.14 | 28.3% | 32.0% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.28 | 27.2% | 31.5% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Aldosivi Res. 0–0 Banfield Res.
Exact score probability: 24%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
36.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aldosivi Res.DWLLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Banfield Res.WLDLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Aldosivi Res.Banfield Res.
29.9Attack27.6
51.7Defence59.8
29.9Form36.8
39.5Power43.9
0.76xG0.74