Aldershot Townvs
Yeovil Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/15/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aldershot Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldershot Town 1-1 Yeovil Town
Original prediction
Aldershot Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 43.5% | 46.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.3% | 26.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 30.2% | 27.9% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.47 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Aldershot Town
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
Aldershot Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00