Aldershot Townvs
Wealdstone
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aldershot Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldershot Town 0-1 Wealdstone
Original prediction
Aldershot Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 41.2% | 51.4% | 10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.0% | 24.1% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.8% | 24.5% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Aldershot Town
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Aldershot Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80