Aldershot Townvs
Oxford City
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aldershot Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Aldershot Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Oxford City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Aldershot Town hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 33.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.9% in the National League, while Aldershot Town holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aldershot Town
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
60.9%
Aldershot Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20