GGOALVIO

England · National League · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Harrogate Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Aldershot Town are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Harrogate Town are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Harrogate Town hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the National League, while Harrogate Town holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Harrogate Town

Probability

44.5%

Model confidence

9.8%

Harrogate Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aldershot TownWWWLW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Harrogate TownWWDWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Aldershot TownHarrogate Town
53.6Attack100.0
39.9Defence33.3
50.0Form100.0
49.6Power80.3
1.65xG1.98
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