Aldershot Townvs
FC Halifax Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aldershot Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aldershot Town 1-0 FC Halifax Town
Original prediction
Aldershot Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.1% | 45.1% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.2% | 26.1% | -1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.8% | 28.8% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Aldershot Town
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Aldershot Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80