Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcoyano · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Alcoyano are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Hércules are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcoyano hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Alcoyano holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alcoyano
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
10.6%
Alcoyano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60