Alcoyanovs
Deportiva Minera
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/27/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcoyano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alcoyano 0-0 Deportiva Minera, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alcoyano 2-0 Deportiva Minera
Original prediction
Alcoyano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.3% | 40.5% | -4.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.96 | 30.6% | 32.2% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.1% | 27.3% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.7 pts
Projected Score
Alcoyano 0–0 Deportiva Minera
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Alcoyano
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Alcoyano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40