Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcorcon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Alcorcon 0-0 Europa Fc, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Alcorcon 0-0 Europa Fc
Original prediction
Alcorcon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.6% | 45.5% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 27.7% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 5.57 | 16.3% | 26.8% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.77 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.1 pts
Projected Score
Alcorcon 0–0 Europa Fc
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Alcorcon
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Alcorcon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlcorconDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Europa FcLDLWL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AlcorconEuropa Fc
38.6Attack48.2
66.7Defence56.1
44.7Form52.6
51.5Power54.0
1.08xG0.89