Alcochetensevs
FC Serpa
COMPLETEDPortugal · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alcochetense 3-1 FC Serpa
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.8%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlcochetenseLLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
FC SerpaWDLDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
AlcochetenseFC Serpa
58.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence66.7
41.7Form50.0
51.6Power57.4
1.32xG1.27