Alcionevs
Vicenza Virtus
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/5/2025, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vicenza Virtus are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vicenza Virtus hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40