Alcionevs
Union Brescia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 3/13/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Union Brescia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Brescia hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20