Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Trento are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.9 against 49.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80