Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Trento are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.9 against 49.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.9% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40