Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Renate are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00