GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 11/3/2025, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pro Patria are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.8%

Model confidence

44.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlcioneLDLWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pro PatriaDWLDD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlcionePro Patria
28.9Attack32.5
67.5Defence55.3
41.2Form40.4
47.9Power45.1
0.84xG0.57
View match centre →