Alcionevs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 2/21/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Pergolettese are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00