GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 3/29/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alcione are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlcioneLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PergoletteseLLWDD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AlcionePergolettese
28.9Attack38.6
67.5Defence56.1
41.2Form39.5
47.9Power45.8
0.82xG0.68
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