Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Alcione 0-1 Novara
Original prediction
Novara
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Novara
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
Novara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AlcioneLLWDL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
NovaraLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AlcioneNovara
0.0Attack66.7
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power53.0
1.34xG1.56