Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Lecco are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20