Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Alcione are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Inter U23 are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 47.9 against 49.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
47.6%
Model confidence
47.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80