GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/25/2025, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Giana Erminio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Giana Erminio hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlcioneLLDWL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Giana ErminioDWDWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
AlcioneGiana Erminio
28.9Attack40.4
67.5Defence61.4
41.2Form46.5
47.9Power50.7
0.71xG0.72
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