AlcionevsFolgore Caratese

Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Folgore Caratese are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 0.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Folgore Caratese hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.