GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 4/11/2025, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Alcione are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Feralpisalo are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Feralpisalo hold a 14.7-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AlcioneDWLLD

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FeralpisaloDWWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AlcioneFeralpisalo
28.9Attack46.5
67.5Defence73.7
41.2Form63.2
47.9Power62.6
0.47xG0.86
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