AlcionevsDesenzano Calvina

Alcione are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Desenzano Calvina are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Desenzano Calvina hold a 2.1-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Serie C - Girone A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.