Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alcione · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Alcione are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Clodiense are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alcione hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Serie C - Girone A, while Alcione holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alcione
Probability
47.4%
Model confidence
47.4%
Alcione has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00